Bibliography
Analysis of China's energy structure and resource utilization efficiency. (2006). China Information News Online Edition :http://www.zgxxb.com.cn/news.asp?id=1686
Angrist, J., Lavy, V., & Schlosser, A. (2010). Multiple experiments for the causal link between the quantity and quality of children. Journal of Labor Economics,
Bao Lingzhi.(2018),The impact of population aging on social and economic development [J]. Sci- ence and Technology Economic Guide, 2018, 26 (10): 168.
Becker, G. S., & Lewis, H. G. (1973). On the interaction between the quantity and quality of chil- dren. The Journal of Political Economy, 81(2), 279-288.
Bill of Health, The Finance and Development ,accessed December,2014 :https://www.imf.org/ex- ternal/pubs/ft/fandd/2014/12/pdf/fd1214.pdf
Cai Wei, Wang Meiyan. (2006)“Not Rich and Old” and Labor Shortage[J]. Report, 2006 (01):
32-35.
Canning, D. and T. P. Schultz (2012), “The Economic Consequences of Reproductive Health and Family Planning.” The Lancet 380(9837): 165-171
China Dropped Its One-Child Policy. So Why aren’t Chinese Women Having More Babies?
(2018),The International New York Times:https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/
China, the poorest profligate, (2000), China Youth Daily :4th edition. http://www.envir.gov.cn/info/
2000/1/126962.htm
China’s natural resources are “large” but the per capita ratio is seriously insufficient. . (2005).China Mining Association Mineral Exploration Association w
Data reveal scale of China abortions, The Financial Times, accessed November 12, 2015,http://
www.ft.com/cms/s/2/6724580a-8d64-11e2-82d2-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2O
Edward C. Prescott.(2004), Why do Americans work so much more than Europeans?[J]. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis quarterly review,(1):2-15.
Forced Abortion Statistics, All Girls Allowed, accessed November 12, 2015, http://www.allgirlsal- lowed.org/forced-abortion-statistics#_edn12.
Fougere & Merette.(2016), Population ageing and economic growth in seven OECD countries[J].
Economic Modeling,411-427.
García, J. L. (2018), “The Household- and Aggregate-Level Fertility Consequences of China’s One- Child Policy.” Working Paper. University of Chicago.
Gile,J, D.Wang & W.Cai. (2011), the labor supply and retirement behavior of China’s older workers and elderly in comparative perspective[N]. IZA discussion paper
Guo Yu.(2013), The Impact of Population Aging on China's Labor Supply[J].Economic Theory and Business Management,(11) :49-58.
JiangCheng. (2013),“The labor market effect of China's aging population.”, Journal of Chinese So- cial Sciences.
Landis Mackellar & Tatiana Ermolieva & David Horlacher & Leslie Mayhew. (2004), The Econom- ic Empacts of Population Aging in Japan[J]. Esri Studies
Li Wei, Tao Zhengyu. (2018) Study on the Influence of Birth Second Child on Children's Education Level[J]. Population Journal, 40(06): 20-30.
Li Xue.(2018) Research on the impact of population aging on labor participation rate [D]. Sichuan Academy of Social Sciences
Li Yumei, Tong Yufen. (2015) China's urbanization process Simulation study on the trend of labor resources change[J].Clinus and Development,(02):14-22.
Liu, H. (2014). The quality–quantity trade-off: evidence from the relaxation of China’s one-child policy. Journal of Population Economics, 27, 565-602.
Loh, C. and E. J. Remick (2015), “China’s Skewed Sex Ratio and the One-child Policy.” The China Quarterly 222: 295-319.
Ma Zhongdong, Lu Zhihao, Ye Kongjia.(2010) Labor Participation Rate and Labor Force Growth:
1982-2050[J]. China Population Science, (01): 11-27.
Mosisa, A & Hipple, S.(2006) trends in labor force participate in the united states[J]. Monthly labor review
Rosenzweig, M. R., & Wolpin, K. I. (1980). Testing the quantity-quality fertility model: The use of twins as a natural experiment. Econometric, 227-240.
S.Austen.(2004)Demographic change and labour force participation rates.[J].Eco-date,18:(1).
Serban A.C.(2012) Aging Population and Effects on Labor Market[J]. Procedia Economic and Finance,(1):356-364.
Tang Yanzhen, Wu Xiangxia, Peng Fu. (2019)How to fully release the demographic dividend [J].
Zhejiang Economics, (01): 61.
Wang Ke.(1987) The Impact of China's Population Aging on Future Economy[J]. Journal of Popu- lation Science, (02): 43-44.
Wu, X., & Li, L. (2012). Family size and maternal health: Evidence from the One-
Child policy in China. Journal of population economics, 25(4), 1341-1364.
Zhou Zhuping, Liu Haibin.(2016) The Impact of Population Aging on Labor Force Participation Rate[J]. Population Research, (03): 58-70.
List of pictures and tables
Picture1-1.Changes in China’s Age dependency ratio from 1979-2015……….12
Picture1-2.Changes in China’s labor participation rate from 1990-2017………14
Picture1-3.Number of Abortion statistic worldwide………...……17
Picture1-4.China-fertility rate from1960-2016………20
Picture1-5.How long did it take for fertility to fall from more than 6 children per woman to fewer than 3 children per woman?...21
Picture1-6.China-Percent of World Population………..22
Picture1-7.China-life expectancy………24
Picture2-4.Scatter plot of family size(vertical) and GDP(horizontal)……….37
Picture2-5.Scatter plot of GDP and Healthcare level………..39
Picture2-6.Scatter plot of GDP and Education level………...41
Picture2-7.Chinese pension system(Revenue-Expense)………47
Picture2-8.China’s GDP growth rate after the second child is released……….51
Table2-1.Describe statistical analysis results………..33
Table2-2.Pearson related coefficient……….…..35
Table2-3.Regression Analysis Results………36
Table2-4.Describe statistical analysis results………..42
Table2-5.Pearson related coefficient………..43
Table2-6.Regression Analysis Results………44
ANNEXES
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China, World Bank(2018) Year GDP($) A v e r a g e
Family size
G r o s s Savings
CPI (last year=100)
E d u c a t i o n Level
H e a l t h c a r e Level
1998 825.58 3.65 395.11 99.2 89.373 305.4
1999 873.29 3.6 400.49 98.6 93.669 321.78
2000 959.37 3.43 433.91 100.4 116.0191 361.88
2001 1053.11 3.43 500.57 100.7 138.1835 393.8
2002 1148.51 3.32 573.72 99.2 158.7939 450.75
2003 1288.64 3.31 706.87 101.2 182.5262 509.5
2004 1508.67 3.3 896.78 103.9 209.9151 583.92
2005 1753.42 3.12 1055.69 101.8 236.3647 662.3
2006 2099.23 3.17 1336.17 101.5 253.0854 748.84
2007 2695.37 3.17 1806.6 104.8 282.0971 875.96
2008 3471.25 3.16 2403.8 105.9 297.0601 1094.52
2009 3838.43 3.15 2604.63 99.3 326.1081 1314.26
2010 4560.51 3.13 3175.95 103.3 351.2563 1490.06
2011 5633.80 3.11 3796.56 105.4 356.6411 1806.95
2012 6337.88 3.09 4249.17 102.6 374.0574 2076.67
2013 7077.77 3.09 4673.22 102.6 381.4331 2327.37
2014 7683.50 3.07 5152.91 102 383.4152 2581.66
2015 8069.21 3.05 5193.02 101.4 389.4184 2980.8
2016 8117.27 3.08 5126.01 102 405.4007 3351.74
2017 8826.99 3.09 5752.39 101.6 410.7534 3783.83
2018 9409.57 3.08 6013.47 102.1 412.3875 3921.3
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China, World Bank(2018)
Year GDP growth
rate
Average family size
CPI(base year=1978)
Per capita disposable
income
1998 6.9% 3.65 429 5425.1
1999 6.7% 3.6 432.2 5854.02
2000 6.9% 3.4 434 6280
2001 7.3% 3.43 437 6859.6
2002 7.8% 3.32 433.5 7702.8
2003 7.9% 3.31 438.7 8472.2
2004 9.5% 3.3 455.8 11619.68
2005 10.6% 3.12 464 13602.539
2006 9.4% 3.17 471 15549.382
2007 9.7% 3.17 493.6 17174.65
2008 14.2% 3.16 522.7 19109.44
2009 12.7% 3.15 519 21809.78
2010 11.4% 3.13 536.1 24564.72
2011 10.1% 3.11 565 26955.1
2012 10.0% 3.09 579.7 29381
2013 9.1% 3.09 594.8 31790.31
2014 8.3% 3.07 606.7 33616.25
2015 8.5% 3.05 615.2 34319.25
2016 7.7% 3.08 627.5 36396.19
2017 7.8% 3.09 637.5 39251.26
2018 7.7% 3.08 640.3 39542.75